Research | Extension



Publications

Adobe PDF files can be downloaded by clicking the linked *pdf*. These documents are provide for use by individuals only -- they are not intended for widespread dispersal.

2014.

Batllori, E., C. Miller, M.-A. Parisien, S.A. Parks, and M.A. Moritz. 2014. Is US climatic diversity well represented within the existing federal protection network? Ecological Applications In press

2013.

Barros, A.M., J. Pereira, M.A. Moritz, and S.L. Stephens. 2013. Spatial characterization of wildfire orientation patterns in California. Forests 4: 197-217 *pdf*

Batllori, E., M.-A. Parisien, M.A. Krawchuk, and M.A. Moritz. 2013. Climate change-induced shifts in fire for Mediterranean ecosystems. Global Ecology and Biogeography 22: 1118-1129 *pdf*

Bell, T.L., S.L. Stephens, and M.A. Moritz. 2013. Short-term physiological effects of smoke on grapevine leaves. International Journal of Wildland Fire WF12140 *pdf*

Moritz, M.A., M.D. Hurteau, K.N. Suding, and C.M. D'Antonio. 2013. Bounded ranges of variation as a framework for future conservation and fire management. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1286:92-107 *pdf*

2012.

Gibbons P., L. van Bommel, A.M. Gill, G.J. Cary, D.A. Driscoll, R.A. Bradstock, E. Knight, M.A. Moritz, S.L. Stephens, and D. Lindenmayer. 2012. Land management practices associated with house loss in Wildfires. PLoS ONE 7: e29212. *pdf*

Krawchuk, M.A. and M.A. Moritz. 2012. Fire and Climate Change in California. California Energy Commission CEC-500-2012-026 *pdf*

Moritz, M.A., M.-A. Parisien, E. Batllori, M.A. Krawchuk, J. Van Dorn, D.J. Ganz, and K. Hayhoe. 2012. Climate change and disruptions to global fire activity. Ecosphere 36:49 *pdf*

Parisien, M.-A., S. Snetsinger, J.A. Greenberg, C.R. Nelson, T. Schoennagel, S.Z. Dobrowski, and M.A. Moritz. 2012. Spatial variability in wildfire probability across the western United States. International Journal of Wildland Fire 21:313-327 *pdf*

Ramage, B.S., A.B. Forrestel, M.A. Moritz, and K.L. O'Hara. 2012. Sudden oak death disease progression across two forest types and spatial scales. Journal of Vegetation Science 23: 151-163 *pdf*

2011.

Bowman, D.M.J.S., J. Balch, P. Artaxo, W.J. Bond, M.A. Cochrane, C.M. D'Antonio, R. DeFries, F.H. Johnston, J.E. Keeley, M.A. Krawchuk, C.A. Kull, M. Mack, M.A. Moritz, S. Pyne, C.I. Roos, A.C. Scott, N.S. Sodhi, and T.W. Swetnam. 2011. The human dimension of fire regimes on Earth. Journal of Biogeography 38: 2223-2236. *pdf*

Forrestel, A.B., M.A. Moritz, and S.L. Stephens. 2011. Landscape-scale vegetation change following fire in Point Reyes, California, USA. Fire Ecology 7: 114-128. *pdf*

Krawchuk, M.A. and M.A. Moritz. 2011. . Constraints on global fire activity vary across a resource gradient. Ecology 92: 121-132. *pdf*

Moritz, M.A., P.F. Hessburg, and N.A. Povak. 2011. Native fire regimes and landscape resilience. In McKenzie, D., C. Miller, and D.A. Falk (Eds.) The Landscape Ecology of Fire. Springer Netherlands, pp 51-86. *pdf*

Parisien, M.-A., S.A. Parks, M.A. Krawchuk, M.D. Flannigan, L.M. Bowman, and M.A. Moritz. 2011. Scale-dependent controls on the area burned in the boreal forest of Canada, 1980-2005. Ecological Applications 21: 789-805. *pdf*

Parisien, M.-A., S.A. Parks, C. Miller, M.A. Krawchuk, M. Heathcott, and M.A. Moritz. 2011. Contributions of ignitions, fuels, and weather to the spatial patterns of burn probability of a boreal landscape. Ecosystems 14: 1141-1155. *pdf*

Peterson, S.H., M.A. Moritz, M.E. Morais, P.E. Dennison, and J.M. Carlson. 2011. . Modelling long-term fire regimes of southern California shrublands. International Journal of Wildland Fire 20: 1-16. *pdf*

2010.

Calder, W.J., G. Lifferth, M.A. Moritz, and S.B. St. Clair. 2010. Physiological effects of smoke exposure on deciduous and conifer tree species. International Journal of Forestry Research 2010:438930 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/ijfr/2010/438930/abs/

Moritz, M.A., T.J. Moody, M.A. Krawchuk, M. Hughes, and A. Hall. 2010. Spatial variation in extreme winds predicts large wildfire locations in chaparral ecosystems. Geophysical Research Letters 37, L04801, doi:10.1029/2009GL041735. (home-grown online supplement)

Odion, D.C., M.A. Moritz, and D.A. DellaSala. 2010. Alternative community states maintained by fire in the Klamath Mountains, USA. Journal of Ecology 98: 96-105.

Ramage, B., A. Forrestel, M. Moritz, and K. O'Hara, K. 2010. Long Term Monitoring of the Ecological Impacts of Sudden Oak Death in Point Reyes National Seashore: 2007-2009. National Park Service Project Report. Point Reyes National Seashore: Point Reyes Station, CA.

2009.

Bowman, D.M.J.S., J.K. Balch, P. Artaxo, W.J. Bond, J.M. Carlson, M.A. Cochrane, C.M. D'Antonio, R.S. DeFries, J.C. Doyle, S.P. Harrison, F.H. Johnston, J.E. Keeley, M.A. Krawchuk, C.A. Kull, J.B.Marston, M.A. Moritz, I.C. Prentice, C.I. Roos, A.C. Scott, T.W. Swetnam, G.R. van der Werf, and S.J. Pyne. 2009. Fire in the Earth system. Science 324: 481-484. (Supplemental online materials)

Dennison, P.E. and M.A. Moritz. 2009. Critical live fuel moisture in chaparral ecosystems: a threshold for fire activity and its relationship to antecedent precipitation. International Journal of Wildland Fire 18: 1021-1027.

Krawchuk, M.A. and M.A. Moritz. 2009. Fire regimes of China: inference from statistical comparison with the United States. Global Ecology and Biogeography 18: 626-639.

Keeley, J.E., H. Safford, C.J. Fotheringham, Franklin, J., and M.A. Moritz. 2009. The 2007 southern California Wildfires: lessons in complexity. Journal of Forestry 107: 287-296.

Krawchuk, M.A., M.A. Moritz, M.-A. Parisien, J. Van Dorn, and K. Hayhoe. 2009. Global pyrogeography: the current and future distribution of wildfire. PLoS ONE 4(4): e5102. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0005102. (home-grown online supplement)

Moody, T.J., S.L. Stephens, and M.A. Moritz. 2009. Effects of fuels management on future wildfires in the Lake Tahoe Basin. In: Effects of Fuel Management in the Tahoe Basin: A Scientific Literature Review. Final Report, pp. 83-114.http://www.tahoescience.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/11/Effect_of_Fuels_Management_Final_12_091.pdf#page=83

Moritz, M.A., T.J. Moody, L.J. Miles, M.M. Smith, and P. de Valpine. 2009. The fire frequency analysis branch of the pyrostatistics tree: sampling decisions and censoring in fire interval data. Environmental and Ecological Statistics 16: 271-289.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10651-007-0088-y

Parisien, M.-A. and M.A. Moritz. 2009. Environmental controls on the distribution of wildfire at multiple spatial scales. Ecological Monographs 79: 127-154.

Stephens, S.L., M.A. Adams, J. Handmer, F.R. Kearns, B. Leicester, J. Leonard, and M.A. Moritz. 2009. Urban-wildland fires: how California and other regions of the US can learn from Australia. Environmental Research Letters 4: 014010. http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/4/1/014010

2008.

Clark, R.E., A.S. Hope, S. Tarantola, D. Gatelli, P.E. Dennison, and M.A. Moritz. 2008. Sensitivity analysis of a fire spread model in a chaparral landscape. Fire Ecology 4: 1-13. http://fireecology.org/journal/abstract/?abstract=39

Cleve, C., M. Kelly, F. Kearns, and M. Moritz. 2008. Classification of the wildland–urban interface: A comparison of pixel- and object-based classifications using high-resolution aerial photography. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 32: 317-326.

Dennison, P.E., M.A. Moritz, and R.S. Taylor. 2008. Evaluating predictive models of critical live fuel moisture in the Santa Monica Mountains, California. International Journal of Wildland Fire 17: 18–27.

Fried, J.S., J.K. Gilless, W.J. Riley, T.J. Moody, C. Simon de Blas, K. Hayhoe, M. Moritz, S. Stephens, and M. Torn. 2008. Predicting the effect of climate change on wildfire behavior and initial attack success. Climatic Change 87 (Suppl 1): S251-S264.

Hessburg, P.F. and M.A. Moritz. 2008. Native fire regimes and landscape resilience. EGU General Assembly Geophysical Research Abstracts 10: EGU2008-A-00190.

Moritz, M. and M. Krawchuk. 2008. Global pyrogeography: Macro-scaled models of
fire-climate relationships for understanding current and future conditions.
EGU General Assembly Geophysical Research Abstracts 10: EGU2008-A-11511.

Moritz, M.A. and S.L. Stephens. 2008. Fire and sustainability: considerations for California's altered future climate. Climatic Change 87 (Suppl 1): S265-S271.

Moritz, M., T. Moody, B. Ramage, and A. Forestel. 2008. Spatial Distribution and Impacts of Phytophthora ramourm and sudden oak death in Point Reyes National Seashore. . National Park Service Project Report. Point Reyes National Seashore: Point Reyes Station, CA.

Peterson, S.H., M.E. Morais, J.M. Carlson, P.E. Dennison, D.A. Roberts, M.A. Moritz, and D.R. Weise. 2008. Spatial Modeling of Fire in Shrublands Using HFire. Res. Pap. PSW-RP-259. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station: Albany, CA. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/31914

2007.

Dennison, P.E., T.J. Cova, and M.A. Moritz. 2007. WUIVAC: a wildland-urban interface evacuation trigger model applied in strategic wildfire scenarios. Natural Hazards 41: 181-199.

Kearns, F.R., N.C. Goldstein, B. Pedersen, and M.A. Moritz. 2007. The fire information engine: a web-based toolkit for wildfire-related needs. Journal of Map & Geography Libraries 4: 1.

2006.

Moritz, M.A. and S.L. Stephens. 2006. Fire and sustainability: Considerations for California’s altered future climate. California Energy Commission, Public Interest Energy Research Program, California Climate Change Center.

Fried, J.S., K. Gilless, W.J. Riley, T.J. Moody, C.S. de Blas, K. Hayhoe, M.A. Moritz, S.L. Stephens, and M. Torn. 2006. Predicting the effect of climate change on wildfire severity and outcomes in California: A preliminary analysis. California Energy Commission, Public Interest Energy Research Program, California Climate Change Center.

Moritz, M.A. 2005. Rethinking how we live with fire. In: R. Halsey, Fire, Chaparral, and Survival in Southern California, Sunbelt Publications.

2005.

Moritz, M.A., M.E. Morais, L.A. Summerell, J.M. Carlson, and J. Doyle. 2005. Wildfires, complexity, and highly optimized tolerance. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 102: 17912-17917.

Cova, T.J., P.E. Dennison, T.H. Kim, and M.A. Moritz. 2005. Setting wildfire evacuation trigger points using fire spread modeling and GIS. Transactions in GIS 9: 603-617.

Moritz, M.A. and D.C. Odion. 2005. Examining the relationship between fire history and sudden oak death patterns: A case study in Sonoma County. In Proceedings of 2nd Sudden Oak Death Science Symposium, Shea PJ, Haverty M, eds. Albany, CA: Pacific Southwest Research Station, Forest Service, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture.

Moritz, M.A. and D.C. Odion. 2005. Examining the strength and possible causes of the relationship between fire history and Sudden Oak Death. Oecologia 144: 106-114.

2004.

Moritz, M.A. and D.C. Odion. 2004. Prescribed fire and natural disturbance. Science 306: 1680.

Keeley, J.E., C.J. Fotheringham, and M.A. Moritz. 2004. Lessons from the October 2003 wildfires in southern California. Journal of Forestry 102: 26-31.

Odion, D.C., E.J. Frost, J.R. Strittholt, H. Jiang, D.A. Dellasala, and M.A. Moritz. 2004. Patterns of fire severity and forest conditions in the Western Klamath Mountains, California. Conservation Biology 18: 927-936.

Moritz, M.A., J.E. Keeley, E.A. Johnson, and A.A. Schaffner. 2004. Testing a basic assumption of shrubland fire management: How important is fuel age? Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 2:67-72.

1992 - 2003.

Moritz, M.A. 2003. Spatio-temporal analysis of controls of shrubland fire regimes: Age dependency and fire hazard. Ecology 84:351-361.

Swanson Hydrology & Geomorphology et al. 2002. Watershed Resources Management Plan: Planning Analysis and Recommendations Report, Prepared for City of Santa Cruz Water Department and The Watershed Resources Technical Advisory Task Force.

Davis, F.W. and M.A. Moritz. 2001. Mechanisms of disturbance. Pp. 153-160 in Encyclopedia of Biodiversity, S. Levin editor, Academic Press.

Tyler, C., D. Odion, D. Meade, and M.A. Moritz. 2000. Factors affecting regeneration of Morro Manzanita (Arctostaphylos morroensis): Reproductive biology and response to prescribed burning. Report for the California Department of Fish and Game, Species Conservation and Recovery Program.

Goldstein, N.C., J.T. Candau and M.A. Moritz. 2000. Burning Santa Barbara at both ends: A study of fire history and urban growth predictions. Proceedings of 4th International Conference on Integrating GIS and Environmental Modeling (GIS/EM4). Banff, Alberta, Canada, September 2-8, 2000; (http://www.Colorado.EDU/research/cires/banff/upload/530/).

Moritz, M.A. 1999. Controls on disturbance regime dynamics: Fire in Los Padres National Forest. Unpublished Ph.D. dissertation, University of California at Santa Barbara.

Romme, W.H., E.G. Everham, L.E. Frelich, M.A. Moritz, and R.E. Sparks. 1998. Are large, infrequent disturbances qualitatively different from small, frequent disturbancesEcosystems 1:524-534.

Stoms, D.M., M.I. Borchert, M.A. Moritz, and F.W. Davis. 1998. A systematic process for selecting representative research natural areas. Natural Areas Journal 18:338-349.

Moritz, M.A. 1997. Analyzing extreme disturbance events: Fire in Los Padres National Forest. Ecological Applications 7:1252-1262.

Moritz, M.A. and F.W. Davis. 1997. A method for examining patterns in mapped fire histories: Identification of homogeneous fire landscapes, in (refereed) Proceedings of Fire in California Ecosystems: Integrating Ecology, Prevention, and Management, San Diego, California; November 17-20, 1997.
(http://www.ice.ucdavis.edu/cafe/agenda97/FireManagement/Modeling/4moritz.html)

Moritz, M.A., D.M. Stoms, M.I. Borchert, and F.W. Davis. 1997. A proposed protocol for identifying potential Research Natural Areas with Gap Analysis data, in Proceedings of the17th Annual ESRI User Conference, San Diego, California; July 8-11, 1997; (http://gis.esri.com/library/userconf/proc97/proc97/to150/pap145/p145.htm).

Davis, F.W., J. Walsh, M.A. Moritz, and D.M. Stoms. 1996. A Digital Soils Layer for Los Padres National Forest. Final Report to National Forest Service. U.C. Santa Barbara.

Friedl, M.A., F.W. Davis, J. Michaelsen, and M.A. Moritz. 1995. Scaling and uncertainty in the relationship between the NDVI and land surface biophysical variables: an analysis using a scene simulation model and data from FIFE. Remote Sensing of Environment 54:233-246.

Sham, C.H., J.W. Brawley, and M.A. Moritz. 1995. Quantifying septic nitrogen loadings to receiving waters: Waquoit Bay, Massachusetts. International Journal of Geographic Information Systems 9:463-473.

Marcus, M.D., M. Allen-Godin, J.W. Brawley, V.P. Meiers, M.A. Moritz, E.F. Ettlinger, C.H. Sham, C.S. Creager, and J.P. Butcher. 1992. Technical Support for Wetlands Advanced Identification in California Coastal Watersheds: Santa Margarita River Project. Final Report to USEPA Region 9.



Outreach Publications

Moritz, M.A. 2012. Wildfires ignite debate on global warming. Nature 487: 273. PDF

Moritz, M.A. 2012. Climate change and wildfire: How vulnerable are we? Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists online Opinion feature (29 August 2012).

Bartolome, J. and M.A. Moritz. 2011. Research on fire and ecosystem services must incorporate climate realities. California Agriculture 65: 176-176.http://ucanr.edu/repository/cao/landingpage.cfm?article=ca.v065n04p176

Moritz, M.A., M.A. Krawchuk, and M.-A. Parisien. 2010. Pyrogeography: understanding the ecological niche of fire. PAGES news 18: 83-85. http://www.pages-igbp.org/products/newsletters/2010-2/Special%20Section/Moritz_2010-2(83-85).pdf

Kearns, F.R., N.C. Goldstein, B. Pedersen, and M.A. Moritz. 2007. The fire information engine: a web-based toolkit for wildfire-related needs. Journal of Map & Geography Libraries 4:1. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1300/J230v04n01_13#.UjDMwtLkt14

Waugh, J., S. Stephens, M. Moritz, R. Smith, and R. Myers. 2006. Fire as a global conservation issue: Regional collaboration toward collective action. Forest Ecology and Management 234S S151.

Moritz, M.A. 2005. Rethinking how we live with fire. In:R. Halsey (Ed.), Fire, Chaparral, and Survival in Southern California , Sunbelt Publications.

Moritz, M.A. and Odion, D.C. 2004. Prescribed fire and natural disturbance. Science 306: 1680.

Moritz, M.A. 2004. Historical fire regimes: Fires in shrublands, presented at the U.C. Combined Working Groups meeting, San Diego, California; May 5-6, 2004.

Kelly, N.M and M.A. Moritz  2004. Using GIS for landscape-level fire planning, presented at the U.C. Combined Working Groups meeting, San Diego, California; May 5-6, 2004.

Moritz, M.A. 2004. Spatio-temporal analysis of controls on shrubland fire regimes, presented at the “Scaling laws in fire regimes: moving landscape fire history into the 21st century” session, International Association of Landscape Ecology annual meeting, Las Vegas, Nevada; March 30-April 4, 2004.

Moritz, M.A. 2002. Spatial analysis of fire history in California's shrublands: Quantifying age dependency and fire hazard” presented at “Society, Fire, Climate and Ecosystems in North America I” session at the Association of American Geographers’ annual meeting, Los Angeles, California; March 17-23, 2002.

Moritz, M.A., J.M. Carlson, J. Doyle, M. Morais, L. Summerell. 2002. Ecosystem complexity and disturbance ecology: Are fire regimes HOT? presented at the “Disturbance Ecology” session, Ecological Society of America annual meeting, Tucson, Arizona; August 4-9, 2002.

Moritz, M.A. 2001. Spatial variation and age dependency in burning patterns, presented at "Fire suppression impacts in crown fire ecosystems" symposium at Ecological Society of America's annual meeting, Madison, Wisconsin; August 5-10, 2001.

Moritz, M.A. 1995. “Historical trends in natural resource conditions” presented talk at Fire Ecology and Fuels Management in California Wildlands Conference; Sacramento, California; April 5-7, 1995.