Assistant Professor, Environmental Science, Policy and Management
University of California, Berkeley
137 Mulford Hall #3114, Berkeley CA 94720-3114
510-642-0676
pdevalpine (at) berkeley (dot) edu
Office: 201 Wellman Hall
Education
Yale
University
B.S.
1993
Applied
Mathematics
University
of California, Davis Ph.D.
2000
Ecology
Post-doctoral
experience
2000-2002 National
Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis, University of California, Santa
Barbara.
2002-2004 Department of Integrative Biology, University of California, Berkeley, funded by US Department of Agriculture fellowship.
2004–2005 Predicant
Biosciences.
Publications (PDF files are provided for individual use only.)
de Valpine, P. In press. Stochastic development in biologically structured population models. Ecology. R package.
Polansky, L., P. de Valpine, J. O. Lloyd-Smith, and W. M. Getz. In press. Likelihood ridges and multimodality in population growth rate models. Ecology.
de Valpine, P. 2009. Shared challenges and common ground for Bayesian and classical analysis of hierarchical models. Ecological Applications 19: 584-588.
de Valpine, P., H-M. Bitter, M.P.S. Brown, and J. Heller. 2009. A simulation-approximation approach to sample size planning for high-dimensional classification studies. Biostatistics 10: 424-435. Supplement. R code.
Polansky, L., P. de Valpine, J. O. Lloyd-Smith, and W. M. Getz. 2008. Parameter estimation in a generalized discrete-time model of density dependence. Theoretical Ecology 1: 221-229.
de Valpine, P., K. Cuddington, M.F. Hoopes, and J. L. Lockwood. 2008. Is spread of invasive species
regulated? Using ecological theory to interpret statistical patterns. Ecology
de Valpine, P., and J. M. Eadie. 2008.
Conspecific brood parasitism and population dynamics. American
Naturalist 172: 547-562. Appendix A. Appendix B.
de Valpine, P. and J. A. Rosenheim. 2008.
Field-scale roles of density, temperature, nitrogen, and predation on aphid
population dynamics. Ecology 89: 532-541.
de Valpine, P. 2008.
Improved estimation of normalizing constants from Markov chain Monte Carlo
output. Journal of
Computational & Graphical Statistics 17: 333-351.
Moritz, M.A. T. J. Moody, L. J. Miles, M.M. Smith, and P. de
Valpine. 2009. The fire
frequency analysis branch of the pyrostatistics tree: sampling decisions and censoring in fire interval data. Environmental
and ecological statistics 16: 271-289.
Adler, L.S., P. de Valpine, J. Harte, and J. Call. 2007. Effects of long-term
experimental warming on aphid density in the field. Journal of the Kansas Entomological Society 80: 156-168.
de Valpine, P., and R. Hilborn. 2005. State-space likelihoods for nonlinear
fisheries time-series. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 62: 1937-195.
de Valpine, P. 2004. Monte Carlo state-space likelihoods by weighted posterior
kernel density estimation. Journal of the American Statistical Association 99:523-535.
de Valpine, P. 2003. Better inferences from population-dynamics experiments using
Monte Carlo state-space likelihood methods. Ecology 84:3064-3077.
de Valpine, P. 2002. Review of methods for fitting time-series models with process
and observation error, and likelihood calculations for nonlinear, non-Gaussian
state-space models. Bulletin of Marine Science 70: 455-471.
de Valpine, P., and A. Hastings. 2002. Fitting population models incorporating
process noise and observation error. Ecological Monographs 72:57-76.
de Valpine, P., and J. Harte. 2001. Effects of warming on a montane meadow
ecosystem: how species responses comprise the ecosystem response. Ecology 82: 637-648.
de Valpine, P. 2000. A new demographic function maximized by life-history
evolution. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B 267: 357-362. (Errata)
Ribe, N.M., and D.P. de Valpine. 1994. The global hotspot distribution and
instability of D''. Geophysical
Research Letters 21: 1507-1510.
Koster, R.D., D.P. de Valpine, and J. Jouzel. 1993. Continental water recycling
and H218O concentrations. Geophysical Research Letters 20: 2215-2218.