C:\Users\kkoy\Desktop\back.jpg http://cal - adapt.org http://cal-adapt.org D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logo\solid\cal-adapt_logo_white_45.png Kevin Koy, Brian Galey, Sarah Van Wart, Matea Marsic, Mark O’Connor, Maggi Kelly Geospatial Innovation Facility College of Natural Resources UC Berkeley GIF-logo Bringing Global Climate Change to a Local Application Bringing Global Climate Change to a Local Application A product of the Public Interest Energy Research (PIER) program D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logo\solid\cal-adapt_logo_white.png D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logos\cec-logo.gif C:\Users\kkoy\Desktop\back.jpg http://cal - adapt.org http://cal-adapt.org D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logo\solid\cal-adapt_logo_white_45.png Public Interest Energy Research Public Interest Energy Research California Energy Commission (CEC) program informs decision makers through: •Climate Monitoring, Analysis, and Modeling •Greenhouse gas Inventory Methods •Options to Reduce GHG Emissions •Impact and Adaptation D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logos\cec-logo.gif C:\Users\kkoy\Desktop\back.jpg http://cal - adapt.org http://cal-adapt.org D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logo\solid\cal-adapt_logo_white_45.png •More than 150 peer reviewed reports on climate change •Dozens of researchers and organizations •Thousands of data layers C:\Users\kkoy\Desktop\back.jpg http://cal - adapt.org http://cal-adapt.org D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logo\solid\cal-adapt_logo_white_45.png Mission Mission Develop an innovative web based platform to increase access to the wealth of climate change research and data being produced by the scientific community in California. C:\Users\kkoy\Desktop\back.jpg http://cal - adapt.org http://cal-adapt.org D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logo\solid\cal-adapt_logo_white_45.png How? How? •Relevant information presented in easy to understand themes and topics •Interactive maps and charts providing a variety of approaches to explore different aspects of climate change •Improved access to primary climate change data in GIS and tabular formats C:\Users\kkoy\Desktop\back.jpg http://cal - adapt.org http://cal-adapt.org D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logo\solid\cal-adapt_logo_white_45.png Target Audiences Target Audiences •General Public Learn about climate change data relevant to their area •Local planners and technicians Obtain meaningful information and data to help guide locally relevant climate action plans and adaptation strategies •Scientific community Access primary data relevant to an area of interest C:\Users\kkoy\Desktop\back.jpg http://cal - adapt.org http://cal-adapt.org D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logo\solid\cal-adapt_logo_white_45.png Collaborative Effort Collaborative Effort •Advisory Oversight from CEC, Natural Resources Agency, Google.org •Initial Research and Data Output from •Scripps Institution of Oceanography •Santa Clara University •Pacific Institute •U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) •UC Berkeley •UC Merced D:\Projects\CalAdapt\Design\logos\natural_resources_logo.jpg D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logos\cec-logo.gif D:\Projects\CalAdapt\Design\logos\for site\ucb_100.png D:\Projects\CalAdapt\Design\logos\for site\scripps_100.png D:\Projects\CalAdapt\Design\logos\for site\scu.png D:\Projects\CalAdapt\Design\logos\for site\uc-merced-log.png D:\Projects\CalAdapt\Design\logos\for site\usgs_logo.png D:\Projects\CalAdapt\Design\logos\google_200.png D:\Projects\CalAdapt\Design\logos\pacific-institute-logo.gif C:\Users\kkoy\Desktop\back.jpg http://cal - adapt.org http://cal-adapt.org D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logo\solid\cal-adapt_logo_white_45.png Development Development •Potential users from each audience polled for use cases and needs via survey and interviews •Initial Beta releases privately tested •Tools and interactive maps verified with data authors for accuracy C:\Users\kkoy\Desktop\back.jpg http://cal - adapt.org http://cal-adapt.org D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logo\solid\cal-adapt_logo_white_45.png Data Data •2 Scenarios •B1 - The lower emissions scenario •A2 - The medium-high emissions scenario •4 Models •NCAR - National Center for Atmospheric Research Parallel Climate Model (PCM1) •CCSM - Community Climate System Model Version 3.0 (CCSM3) •GFDL - Geophysical Fluids Dynamic Laboratory (GFDL) CM2.1 •CNRM - Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques C:\Users\kkoy\Desktop\back.jpg http://cal - adapt.org http://cal-adapt.org D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logo\solid\cal-adapt_logo_white_45.png Data Data Monthly layers 1950-2099 •Actual evapotranspiration •Average temperature •Baseflow •Fire •Fractional moisture in the entire soil column •Maximum temperature •Minimum temperature •Net surface radiation •Precipitation •Relative humidity •Runoff •Snow water equivalent •Soil moisture at bottom layer •Soil moisture at middle layer •Soil moisture at top layer •Wind Each variable = 14,400 layers * 150 years * 12 months * 4 Models * 2 Scenarios Over 230,000 total C:\Users\kkoy\Desktop\back.jpg http://cal - adapt.org http://cal-adapt.org D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logo\solid\cal-adapt_logo_white_45.png How does it work? How does it work? 11 Rapid production of interactive outputs Rapid production of interactive outputs C:\Users\kkoy\Desktop\back.jpg http://cal - adapt.org http://cal-adapt.org D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logo\solid\cal-adapt_logo_white_45.png Demo Demo C:\Users\kkoy\Desktop\back.jpg http://cal - adapt.org http://cal-adapt.org D:\Projects\Cal-Adapt\Design\logo\solid\cal-adapt_logo_white_45.png Extreme Heat event Extreme Heat event New tool will aggregate daily temperature projection data to visualize potential frequency, duration, and severity of future heat waves Projected number of heat wave days in Los Angeles from the GFDL GCM simulation, under the A2 GHG emissions scenario. In this case, a heat wave is any day exceeding 81°F, the 95th percentile of daytime temperature in Los Angeles during May through September from 1961-1990. - Dan Cayan - Climate Change and the Future of Southern California